Coming Recession?
GDP is crashing and the bond market’s yield curve is falling fast, historically two recession signals.
2021 - Volatility, Stocks Struggle
Unless you owned the most expensive stocks investors experienced volatility and flat returns.
Inflation Or Stagflation?
The highest inflation rates in 40 years could lead to stagflation.
Wealth Shield Update - Stop Out to Cash
Our rules based trailing stop discipline has shifted the majority of our allocations to cash and bonds.
Could the S&P 500 Fall -50% in 2022?
High Inflation could cause stock prices to fall dramatically.
The Longer the Base the Higher in Space
As the bubble stocks burst pay attention to opportunities in value stocks.
The Everything Bubble
The Fed has created a bubble in real estate, the bond market, and the stock market through money printing and artificially holding interest rates low.
Markets Losing Momentum in the midst of an Epic Bubble and a Halt to the Printing Press?
As the markets lose the support of the printing press it is important to pay attention to a possible break in trend and to a possible recession.
Highcroft Growth at a Reasonable Price Strategy
Highcroft growth at a reasonable price strategy
Secular Themes Extend Beyond the Business Cycle
Secular themes are those where their growth extends beyond the business cycle
Washington DC has printed trillions, creating an epic stock market bubble
Excessive Money Printing Funnels into the Stock Market
2021 stock market return concentrated in the top 5
2021 is a stock market bubble like 1999 where investment returns are generated by a handful of stocks.
SEE-SAW: THE TECH BUBBLE AND A PIVOT TO VALUE
Avoid the bubble, shift to the other side of the see-saw and avoid excessively valued stocks.
ROBOTS CONTROL TRADING
Up to 80% of the volume on the stock exchanges is computerized trading.
VOLATILITY UPDATE - ALLOCATION ADJUSTMENTS
The stock market has been volatile lately, we are allocated to blue chips
GROWTH STOCKS STRUGGLE IN 2021
Upon closer examination high quality categories of the market have struggled.