ALLOCATION UPDATE

MARKET UPDATE

Volatility appears to be ebbing.  Investor concerns regarding the $300 billion Evergrande bankruptcy in China and Federal Reserve Bank tapering (slowing down the printing press) have abated for now.  Unless those concerns resurface, and the debt ceiling and stimulus bill negotiations in Washington DC fail, the U.S. markets could be cleared for a rally into year end.

 

ALLOCATION UPDATE

The volatility stress tested our holdings.  In my opinion most did very well.  A few of our holdings hit their capital preservation stops, ETFs that had exposure to cyclicals and consumer staples which is not as appealing to investors as the economy slows.  We used that opportunity to upgrade our holdings.

Broadly we are allocated to high quality blue chips and large cap technology, with some space for innovators.  We can think of holdings in four categories (the following allocations are representative of the Growth Allocation):

35%    Secular Growers – Quality U.S. Blue Chips

30%    Global Technology – Large Cap

20%    Innovation – Companies involved in software, cyber security, etc

15%    cash for new opportunities

Note: past performance is not an indication of future results and expectations might not materialize. Current investor concerns could evaporate as fast as they occurred.

LPL 1-05194187

 

DEFINITIONS

Trailing Stop - The term stop loss refers to a general strategy whereby investors desire to limit declines in their investment holdings and avoid participating in a significant drawdown.  The strategy does not eliminate the possibility of loss, it is designed rather to cut short the trend of continued losses.  The strategy can lock in gains.

Trailing Stop Order - A trailing stop order is setting a stop condition, creating a moving (i.e. trailing) activation price.  Trailing stop orders have unique risks which include but are not limited to:

·        Trailing stop prices are not guaranteed execution prices.  The price at which a stop order ultimately is executed may be very different from the stop price.

·        Trailing stop orders may be triggered by a short-lived, dramatic price change.  During volatile market conditions the price of a stock can move significantly in a short period of time and trigger an execution of a stop order.

·        Trailing Sell stop orders my exacerbate declines during times of extreme volatility.  Activation of sell stop orders may add downward price pressure on a security.

·        Trailing stop orders face risk from mechanical malfunction, system disruptions, some types of corporate actions (e.g. cash dividends), and bad price ticks; among other factors.

·        This service may be discontinued or limited at any time and without prior notice.

Wealth Shield – A rules-based discipline that has capital preservation as its’ primary objective.  The program exits investments that have broken a bull trend, shifting those investments into cash which is then ready funds to be reinvested into those investments that have superior momentum characteristics. 

The discipline can lock in gains or minimize losses, preventing further declines.  Wealth Shield acts as a brake when investments and markets generate downward momentum.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual security.  This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose.

The information contained herein does not constitute and should not be construed as representation or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or related financial instruments in any jurisdiction.  To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing.

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.  Any investment or investment strategy outlined herein are not suitable for all investors, readers should conduct their own review and exercise judgment prior to investing.  Wherever there is the potential for profit there is also the possibility of loss.  No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee return or eliminate risk in all market environments.

International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

This report expresses the opinions and views of the author as of the date indicated and are based on the author's interpretation of the concepts therein and may be subject to change without notice.  Neither Highcroft Investment Advisors, Gerald Asplund, nor LPL Financial, has no duty or obligation to update the information contained herein. 

To the extent you are receiving investment advice from a separately registered independent investment advisor or broker, please note that Highcroft Investment Advisors, Gerald Asplund, and LPL Financial are not an affiliate of and makes no representation with respect to such entity.

Certain information contained herein concerning economic trends, Fundamentals, and/or Technical analysis, and performance is based on or derived from information provided by independent third-party sources.  The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted.

Technical analysis is generally based on the study of price movement, volume, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends. Technical analysis does not consider the fundamentals of the underlying corporate issuer.

The sources from which information has been obtained is assumed to be reliable; the accuracy of such information is not guaranteed, and the accuracy and completeness of such information has not been independently verified.

All indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.  Investing in the index would require investors purchase an investment product, which would involve fees and expenses.

 

ABOUT US

Highcroft Investment Advisors provides retirement planning, investment management, financial planning, fiduciary investment management, and lifetime income planning. Certified Financial Planner. Working with business owners, individuals, and wealthy families near Wayzata, Minnetonka, Plymouth, Orono, Minnetrista, and Minneapolis Minnesota (55402, 55391, 55447, 55364, 55428). 

Highcroft Investment Advisors serves as a 3(21) and 3(38) Investment Advisor and fiduciary for labor union supplemental 401(k) and pension plans and corporate 401(k) plans.  Highcroft works with the union's counsel, recordkeeper, administrator, and the plan's trustees.  United Association, Plumbers, Pipefitters, Steamfitters, IBEW, and Carpenters.  Serving Wisconsin and Minnesota.  401(k) investment management provided through LPL Financial's corporate RIA - offering 3(21) and 3(38) services.

Working with business owners, individuals, and wealthy families near Wayzata, Minnetonka, Plymouth, Orono, Minnetrista, and Minneapolis Minnesota (55402, 55391, 55447, 55364, 55428).  As independent financial advisors we are not driven by certain products or services, instead we focus on your needs as an individual.  Services include fiduciary fee only, retirement and divorce financial planning, life insurance, capital preservation, lifetime income planning, bonds, stocks, ETF, income, IRA, brokerage, rollover IRAs.  Financial advisor near me, financial planner near me, independent planner near me.

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