Gerald Asplund 10/28/24 Gerald Asplund 10/28/24

The U.S. Stock Market is again trading at Historically High Valuations

As measured by the Buffett Indicator and the Price/Earnings Model the U.S. stock market has returned to high valuations.

Gerald Asplund 5/17/24 Gerald Asplund 5/17/24

U.S. Stock Market Extremely Over-Valued

Four charts outlining the extremely high valuation of the stock market in 2024.

Gerald Asplund 8/14/23 Gerald Asplund 8/14/23

Speculative A.I. Melt Up – FOMO is Alive and Well

The 2023 stock market rally is built upon a speculative melt up of a handful of stocks.

Gerald Asplund 12/29/22 Gerald Asplund 12/29/22

Bear Market Halftime?

Bear markets coincident with bubble valuations and inflation tend to take years to work themselves out.

Gerald Asplund 12/26/22 Gerald Asplund 12/26/22

Stocks Flat for Four Years

The average stock in the United States has been flat over the past four years.

Gerald Asplund 7/14/22 Gerald Asplund 7/14/22

Recession, Stagflation, and Falling Stock Prices

Two quarters of negative GDP growth in a row is the standard definition of a recession.

Gerald Asplund 5/10/22 Gerald Asplund 5/10/22

The Correction Began In 2021

The loss of momentum, leading to a stock market correction, was clear by the summer.

Gerald Asplund 3/11/22 Gerald Asplund 3/11/22

Global Stock Market Breakdown

Stock markets are breaking down globally, entering bear trends.

Gerald Asplund 3/6/22 Gerald Asplund 3/6/22

Coming Recession?

GDP is crashing and the bond market’s yield curve is falling fast, historically two recession signals.

Gerald Asplund 2/19/22 Gerald Asplund 2/19/22

2021 - Volatility, Stocks Struggle

Unless you owned the most expensive stocks investors experienced volatility and flat returns.

Gerald Asplund 2/11/22 Gerald Asplund 2/11/22

Inflation Or Stagflation?

The highest inflation rates in 40 years could lead to stagflation.

Gerald Asplund 1/21/22 Gerald Asplund 1/21/22

Wealth Shield Update - Stop Out to Cash

Our rules based trailing stop discipline has shifted the majority of our allocations to cash and bonds.

Gerald Asplund 1/20/22 Gerald Asplund 1/20/22

Potential Stock Market Trend Break

Major stock market indices have broken trend.

Gerald Asplund 1/10/22 Gerald Asplund 1/10/22

Could the S&P 500 Fall -50% in 2022?

High Inflation could cause stock prices to fall dramatically.

Gerald Asplund 12/29/21 Gerald Asplund 12/29/21

Highcroft Growth at a Reasonable Price Strategy

Highcroft growth at a reasonable price strategy

Gerald Asplund 12/27/21 Gerald Asplund 12/27/21

Washington DC has printed trillions, creating an epic stock market bubble

Excessive Money Printing Funnels into the Stock Market

Gerald Asplund 12/12/21 Gerald Asplund 12/12/21

2021 stock market return concentrated in the top 5

2021 is a stock market bubble like 1999 where investment returns are generated by a handful of stocks.

Gerald Asplund 10/1/21 Gerald Asplund 10/1/21

SEE-SAW: THE TECH BUBBLE AND A PIVOT TO VALUE

Avoid the bubble, shift to the other side of the see-saw and avoid excessively valued stocks.

Gerald Asplund 9/29/21 Gerald Asplund 9/29/21

SUMMER OF VOLATILITY

Most stock market indices were flat for the majority of 2021

Gerald Asplund 9/28/21 Gerald Asplund 9/28/21

ROBOTS CONTROL TRADING

Up to 80% of the volume on the stock exchanges is computerized trading.