Asset Allocation: Where have we been?
Highcroft Wealth Shield has preserved capital during the bear market.
The U.S. Stock Market is again trading at Historically High Valuations
As measured by the Buffett Indicator and the Price/Earnings Model the U.S. stock market has returned to high valuations.
Earnings Continue Decline
Wall Street told investors that earnings will broadly rebound in 2024. Anything but – earnings results continued to slip.
U.S. Stock Market Extremely Over-Valued
Four charts outlining the extremely high valuation of the stock market in 2024.
Asset Allocation: Where have we been since 01/01/2022?
Highcroft Wealth Shield has preserved capital during the bear market.
Asset Allocation: Where have we been?
Highcroft Wealth Shield has preserved capital during the bear market.
Speculative A.I. Melt Up – FOMO is Alive and Well
The 2023 stock market rally is built upon a speculative melt up of a handful of stocks.
Recession Red Flags – All 5 Flashing Danger
All five dependable recessionary red flags are indicating that we could be in a recession soon.
Bear Market Persists - Be Cautious
A handful of stocks are responsible for the YTD S&P 500 return, the broad market remains in a bear trend.
Secure Act 2.0 tax law updates
Congress recently passed the Secure Act 2.0, which has important tax and planning provisions for you.
Stock Market Loses -34% During a Recession, On Average
The S&P 500 has lost an average of -34.9% during the last 14 recessions, going back to the 1920s.
Bear Market Halftime?
Bear markets coincident with bubble valuations and inflation tend to take years to work themselves out.
Stocks Flat for Four Years
The average stock in the United States has been flat over the past four years.
Broadly Diversifed Index of US Stocks Flat Between 1998 and 2022
Looking at the Value Line Geometric Average one could argue that U.S. stocks have struggled to provide returns.
Don’t Fight the Fed - a Good Stepping off Point
As long as the Fed is raising interest rates stock market rallies will fail at trend.
Don’t Fight The Fed, Bear Market Rally is an Opportunity to Reduce Risk
Rallies in a Bear Trend are Common, the Market is in a Bear Trend.
Recession, Stagflation, and Falling Stock Prices
Two quarters of negative GDP growth in a row is the standard definition of a recession.
The Correction Began In 2021
The loss of momentum, leading to a stock market correction, was clear by the summer.
Bear Trend Likely to Continue?!
Stock markets broadly are in a bear trend, exhibiting lower highs and lower lows.
Global Stock Market Breakdown
Stock markets are breaking down globally, entering bear trends.