Stocks Flat for Four Years
The average stock in the United States has been flat over the past four years.
Secular Themes Extend Beyond the Business Cycle
Secular themes are those where their growth extends beyond the business cycle
2021 stock market return concentrated in the top 5
2021 is a stock market bubble like 1999 where investment returns are generated by a handful of stocks.
SEE-SAW: THE TECH BUBBLE AND A PIVOT TO VALUE
Avoid the bubble, shift to the other side of the see-saw and avoid excessively valued stocks.
VOLATILITY UPDATE - ALLOCATION ADJUSTMENTS
The stock market has been volatile lately, we are allocated to blue chips
GROWTH STOCKS STRUGGLE IN 2021
Upon closer examination high quality categories of the market have struggled.
CENTRAL BANKS FIGHT INFLATION
In an effort to control inflation central banks are coordinating their policies
VALUATION UPDATE 2020 Q2
Although the stock market has had a big correction, valuations remain in record high territory.
CORPORATE EARNINGS HAVE BEEN FLAT FOR MANY YEARS
Corporate profits have been flat for 8 years.
EUROPE PROVIDES AN OPPORTUNITY
European stocks provide an opportunity to invest at more reasonable valuations.